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2024 Election prediction/discussion

It’s his home state, most candidates have disproportional advantages in their home state
He’s never come close to that type of margin in 2016 or 2020. Pubs have cast 1.2M more votes in Florida than Dems. Shocking numbers. No clue what is going on there
 
NBC says "state of democracy" is top issue in exit polls today. Above the economy.
 
NBC says "state of democracy" is top issue in exit polls today. Above the economy.
I would encourage everyone to view exit polls with a skeptical eye. Those same exit polls show Trump winning independents in Georgia by 11 points and getting 25% of black males. Skeptical of both those numbers.
 
I would encourage everyone to view exit polls with a skeptical eye. Those same exit polls show Trump winning independents in Georgia by 11 points and getting 25% of black males. Skeptical of both those numbers.
Certainly. We have a real poll going on! Still it is interesting to see these things to assess if they are pointing similar directions.
 
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City of Tulsa is slow to report. Nichols up 19 points w 21 percent reporting
 
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Nichols is going to win this unless the remaining votes are heavily Keith.
Really surprises me. Perhaps it speaks to how politics differ between the city proper and other communities in Tulsa County.

I would be very curious to see how the presidential vote ends up in City of Tulsa. Not an easy number to get.
 
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