We are talking major league corruption sometimes tied to the cartels. They want the aid package to go up to include the welcoming costs, not down. Saying you are going to reduce the aid means they close all airports to all the flights. Which they have done. Which backs up the numbers and pretty soon the government is explaining to 60 minutes why teenage girls are pissing in plastic bags outside El Paso instead of toilets. We have some leverage, but not much, especially since the Chinese will write them a check for whatever we withhold.
When you see on TV that the Vice President or the Secretary of Defense or Homeland Security is in the Northern Triangle to discuss multilateral co-operation, that is usually what the meeting is really about. We are there to say we will pay and get assurances on transportation routes and repatriation numbers in exchange for the cash up front. But that only buys us 24 hours of relief, more will enter between ports of entry everyday. The deputation queue will fill back up quickly. Or you turn them loose.
That’s why you hear people talk about push and pull factors and minimizing those. Famine from natural disasters pushes people up. You minimize that by sending aid, though that mostly gets embezzled. Word gets out that an egg farm in Ohio is paying $20 an hour for kids 14 to 17 to work 16 hour days. They do the math and see they will make more in a month than a year in rural Honduras doing similar work, so that pulls them up.
You can’t manage the logistics. Even if you have the money and men, the folks that control this game simply surge and overwhelm all your logistics. Texas got a dose of that with that tiny border rush they handled poorly.
You have to approach it from the standpoint of reducing reasons to come to America and then have a regulatory scheme that disincentizes illegal entry in the interior. We aren’t doing a very good job at either right now. And the system itself prevents complicated trade off that make it unwinnable in the opinion of some,