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I think alot of that is based on last year. Teams that replace the entire roster are impossible to predictProjected record: 11-19 (4-14)
AAC ranked 9th best conference between WCC and A10. Memphis (32) and FAU (37) the only teams in the top 75. UTSA (238) and Tulsa (272) the only teams below 200.
Nowhere to go but up!
11 is better than 5. That is a step in the right direction. We are doing thangs baby!Projected record: 11-19 (4-14)
AAC ranked 9th best conference between WCC and A10. Memphis (32) and FAU (37) the only teams in the top 75. UTSA (238) and Tulsa (272) the only teams below 200.
Nowhere to go but up!
Final Four team with everyone back at (37)? I've seen teams regress, but maybe not this much.Projected record: 11-19 (4-14)
AAC ranked 9th best conference between WCC and A10. Memphis (32) and FAU (37) the only teams in the top 75. UTSA (238) and Tulsa (272) the only teams below 200.
Nowhere to go but up!
Wonder who got Louisville and Purdue to play at Tulsa ? Doubt Stoglin got that done. Maybe Turner, the AD? Now they won’t return our calls.I wonder if what the equivalent predictions for Tulsa in 1980-1981 season must have been? Nolan brought in 9 new scholarship players that year, and only one player returning, Bob Stevenson, was any good.
No, not predicting 26-7 and NIT Championship, but it's just one of countless examples of how preseason predictions are worthless. Just something to talk about.
You have to love that year's out of conference schedule. No out of state games, two home games against final 4 teams, including the national champions, from the previous year. And playing Dominique Wilkins' Georgia team at ORU. That was the only non-conference loss, a two-pointer.
I’m not a gambler, but if I could actually find anyone willing to put up $ on that prediction, I’d take the over.Projected record: 11-19 (4-14)
AAC ranked 9th best conference between WCC and A10. Memphis (32) and FAU (37) the only teams in the top 75. UTSA (238) and Tulsa (272) the only teams below 200.
Nowhere to go but up!
The TU - Louisville game of 1980 started an era of unprecedented excitement with TU basketball which maybe only the Elite Eight team of 2000 might have matched.I'll bet Jim King got the games scheduled. Just a guess. Louisville was a not too far removed from being an MVC opponent. I figure both teams scheduled the game because they aren't that far away from Tulsa, comparatively speaking, as some non-conference opponents would be. That combined with thinking winning at Tulsa would be an easy road win, are reasons for them scheduling home and home games. Tulsa had 5 consecutive losing season before Nolan, with 4 of of those being single digit win years. Purdue and Louisville beat TU by 34 and 20 points, respectively, in 1980.
No way they saw Tulsa's Nolan instant turnaround coming. The impact of that Louisville win can't be overestimated. Tulsa went form complete apathy to hysteria in an instant. The atmosphere for that Louisville game was wild.
Yea, 11-19? Come on.I’m not a gambler, but if I could actually find anyone willing to put up $ on that prediction, I’d take the over.
Way more than thatI'd take the over as well, I think we win 12-14 games.
I want to be wrong. I’m just going into the season with really low expectations after last season. I know it’s an entirely different team and I won’t be a negative Nancy during the season like some on here but leading up I am until I see otherwise.Way more than that
Hey buddy! There’s only room enough for one Negative Nancy on this forum!I want to be wrong. I’m just going into the season with really low expectations after last season. I know it’s an entirely different team and I won’t be a negative Nancy during the season like some on here but leading up I am until I see otherwise.
I have high hopes last year was an aberration
Hey buddy! There’s only room enough for one Negative Nancy on this forum!
As the kids these days say…. “You’re not him”
Way more than that
I've got 8-4
Look I think the 11-19 is a decent prediction before the season starts without knowing what the team can do and if they can gel. Obviously if they are playing above par then the numbers can change one way or the other. We have a soft (on paper) OOC schedule. The American is not a pushover conference even the additions, most are not pushovers. We will see.Coach Wilson first year predictions
Nobody has a solid clue, with 11 new players that have very little solid playing time at their former abodes. His prediction has just as much merit as many other predictions. I think we'll win at a minimum 12-14 game becuz we have a solid experienced PG and play an easier schedule. But I don't know that for sure. We could finish with 8 wins or 20+.
This prediction is basically based 100% off last year. It truly makes no sense and if end up 11-19 then we should ALL be very upset.Look I think the 11-19 is a decent prediction before the season starts without knowing what the team can do and if they can gel. Obviously if they are playing above par then the numbers can change one way or the other. We have a soft (on paper) OOC schedule. The American is not a pushover conference even the additions, most are not pushovers. We will see.
It’s better than 5-25This prediction is basically based 100% off last year. It truly makes no sense and if end up 11-19 then we should ALL be very upset.
Realistic. We realistically were 5-25 last year. If we are 11-19 this year it’s better than what we were. Didn’t say you didn’t have to like it but the reality is it’s better than what it was.Must be fun to be this pessimistic.
11 wins is basically just regression to the mean. Very bad AAC teams usually win 10 - 12 games. Only colossally bad AAC teams win fewer than 10, usually one AAC team per year comes in under 10. So this is saying we probably won't be colossally, historically, bad again. I'd like to think we can hit a little higher than that but who knows.Projected record: 11-19 (4-14)
AAC ranked 9th best conference between WCC and A10. Memphis (32) and FAU (37) the only teams in the top 75. UTSA (238) and Tulsa (272) the only teams below 200.
Nowhere to go but up!
There's the old statistician coming out!11 wins is basically just regression to the mean. Very bad AAC teams usually win 10 - 12 games. Only colossally bad AAC teams win fewer than 10, usually one AAC team per year comes in under 10. So this is saying we probably won't be colossally, historically, bad again. I'd like to think we can hit a little higher than that but who knows.
Don't go there yet. We don't want to see your utter & abject disappointment when we go 13-17. 😁After the secret scrimmage my expectation is a winning record
Finger crossed
Dumb.TU basketball unfortunately is back to pre-Nolan days!!!!
We are just another mediocre basketball program!!!
We have all hated to see the digression but it has happened.
With that said I hope we have a great year!!!!
Let's beat Ken Pom's prediction of 11 wins!!!!
GO TU!!!!
Year | Team | Preseason Rank | Postseason Rank | Change |
2022-2023 | Southern Miss | 324 | 99 | 225 |
2021-2022 | Middle Tennessee | 285 | 92 | 193 |
2020-2021 | Morehead State | 318 | 134 | 184 |
2019-2020 | Stephen F. Austin | 299 | 100 | 199 |
2018-2019 | South Florida | 287 | 99 | 18 |
Wow is 272 lower than early Wojcik years?Biggest risers from preseason KenPom last 5 years. Tulsa starts the season at 272.
Year Team Preseason Rank Postseason Rank Change 2022-2023 Southern Miss 324 99 225 2021-2022 Middle Tennessee 285 92 193 2020-2021 Morehead State 318 134 184 2019-2020 Stephen F. Austin 299 100 199 2018-2019 South Florida 287 99 18
Yes. BUT we're up 19 spots after last night's win and I've got a feeling we won't stop there.Wow is 272 lower than early Wojick years?
GO TU!!!
Yeah I think it will go up at least a 100 if not 150.Yes. BUT we're up 19 spots after last night's win and I've got a feeling we won't stop there.
I don't even want to put a limit on it...I just know it'll go up fast. I'm excited to have our full deck with everyone back from injury.Yeah I think it will go up at least a 100 if not 150.