It is fun to think of beating either Washington or Oklahoma, but the game that is a "must win" game for me is #4, Norther Illinois. Win this one and it is likely TU will be 4 and 2 heading in to the tough part of our conference schedule.
Northern gets the starting QB back who was injured shortly after playing TU last year. They also get their leading rusher and receiver back. Having the entire starting Offensive Line back will also give the Huskies a shot at having a stellar MAC offense.
Game 4 is also huge for them. They have Boston College and Nebraska in their first 3 games. They don't want to start in a 1 and 3 hole as well.
We lucked out at home against them last year and this is going to be a tough win, but in my estimation a "must win" for TU to launch 2023. 2 and 2 is a world better than 1 and 3.