ADVERTISEMENT

2024 Election prediction/discussion

Can I key in on a concept? Had the Jan 6th insurrectionists intervened and Congressmen had actually been trapped in congress, there might have been a far different outcome. Recall that they were trying to obstruct the congressional certification procedure. If they succeed in that, maybe by capturing Pence, it could have been a different outcome.
lol. Zero chance.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

I'll take Ben Bernanke's word for it over Mr. Bianchi's no offense to him...
W31417.jpg


Olivier J. Blanchard and Ben S. Bernanke study the historical comovement of wages, prices, and inflation expectations in an effort to measure the relative contributions of the sources of the recent US inflation shock. They estimate the relationships between price inflation, wage inflation, commodity price shocks, shortages, and labor market tightness over the period from 1990 to the start of the pandemic, and then use their estimates to simulate the inflationary effects of the various shocks that buffeted the US economy from the beginning of 2020 to early 2023.
I listed the opinions of no fewer than 7 economist. I take anything a former chairman of the Fed says regarding a decision backed by the Fed with skepticism. I also know enough to realize injected a trillion dollars into an economy experiencing labor and material shortages creates inflationary pressure. I said as much when it was done and turned out to be correct. Those that claimed inflation was transitory need to take a lap here.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

First of all, I was talking about Harris' campaign, not Trumps. I call it fearmongering because that is how it came across to me...so that's my opinion. I had my 20-year old liberal daughter asking about all the stuff filling her "for you" social media pages about how she was going to lose her rights, which is absolutely insane, IMO.
Your daughter already lost her rights. Now its just further written in stone.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

Of course it was concerning. I didn't like it, but our legal system does allow a process of challenging election results, and once his legal team exhausted those avenues, it was pretty much done. After that, he wasn't claiming he was still president or that Biden wasn't the president. And I don't like that he was still mentioning four years later that he thinks it was stolen from him, but everyone's entitled to their opinion I guess. I wish he'd keep that opinion to himself.

The January 6th riot was foolish and ridiculous, but I was never concerned that the group of people involved was somehow going to overthrow the government.

To answer your question. No, I don't personally fear that democracy in our country is at risk. I just don't see a basis for it, regardless of who won the election. Our Constitution instituted the proper checks and balances to keep any one person or one branch of government to be too powerful.
My only fear is that Trump will break down those checks with both the house and Senate going Republican. He will be given carte blanche on appointments and attempt to change the civil servants hirings and firings, that he has so far been forbade from touching.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

Of course it was concerning. I didn't like it, but our legal system does allow a process of challenging election results, and once his legal team exhausted those avenues, it was pretty much done. After that, he wasn't claiming he was still president or that Biden wasn't the president. And I don't like that he was still mentioning four years later that he thinks it was stolen from him, but everyone's entitled to their opinion I guess. I wish he'd keep that opinion to himself.

The January 6th riot was foolish and ridiculous, but I was never concerned that the group of people involved was somehow going to overthrow the government.

To answer your question. No, I don't personally fear that democracy in our country is at risk. I just don't see a basis for it, regardless of who won the election. Our Constitution instituted the proper checks and balances to keep any one person or one branch of government to be too powerful.
Can I key in on a concept? Had the Jan 6th insurrectionists intervened and Congressmen had actually been trapped in congress, there might have been a far different outcome. Recall that they were trying to obstruct the congressional certification procedure. If they succeed in that, maybe by capturing Pence, it could have been a different outcome.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

Lots of papers on the subject

The highest estimate — that roughly half or about four percentage points of the recent increase in annual inflation can be attributed to the rescue plan — comes from Francesco Bianchi of Johns Hopkins University, who presented findings from a paper he co-authored at the Federal Reserve’s annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyo.

Four economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco in March, after comparing the U.S. experience to that of other advanced economies, said the combined effects of all fiscal measures in 2020 and 2021 had pushed inflation higher, with the effect peaking late last year after the rescue plan took hold at about three percentage points. And Laurence Ball of Johns Hopkins, along with Daniel Leigh and Prachi Mishra of the International Monetary Fund, arrived at a similar figure for the rescue plan alone in a paper presented at a Brookings Institution conference in early September.
I'll take Ben Bernanke's word for it over Mr. Bianchi's no offense to him...
W31417.jpg


Olivier J. Blanchard and Ben S. Bernanke study the historical comovement of wages, prices, and inflation expectations in an effort to measure the relative contributions of the sources of the recent US inflation shock. They estimate the relationships between price inflation, wage inflation, commodity price shocks, shortages, and labor market tightness over the period from 1990 to the start of the pandemic, and then use their estimates to simulate the inflationary effects of the various shocks that buffeted the US economy from the beginning of 2020 to early 2023.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

Chris were you not troubled by Trump's election denialism and nanchalant-at-best reaction to the January 6th riots? How does that not stoke fear that our democracy is at risk?
Of course it was concerning. I didn't like it, but our legal system does allow a process of challenging election results, and once his legal team exhausted those avenues, it was pretty much done. After that, he wasn't claiming he was still president or that Biden wasn't the president. And I don't like that he was still mentioning four years later that he thinks it was stolen from him, but everyone's entitled to their opinion I guess. I wish he'd keep that opinion to himself.

The January 6th riot was foolish and ridiculous, but I was never concerned that the group of people involved was somehow going to overthrow the government.

To answer your question. No, I don't personally fear that democracy in our country is at risk. I just don't see a basis for it, regardless of who won the election. Our Constitution instituted the proper checks and balances to keep any one person or one branch of government to be too powerful.
  • Like
Reactions: TULSARISING

Games of Interest (11.9.24 - 11.12.24) Arkansas Pine Bluff

Utah State destroyed Charlotte 103 - 74
East Carolina edged out Coastal Carolina 63-59

At Halftime
UNLV 34 - Memphis 30
Haggerty is the leading scorer with 13 points on 4 of 8 from the field.
Yeah, on Memphis/Haggerty trailing!!!

I don't know if it's been mentioned already, but last game UCF beat Texas A&M. That will be a tough game against UCF.

Fire him TOMORROW!

Vince Carrilot was fired during the summer of 1970 for recruiting violation that landed TU on probation. Claude "Hoot" Gibson was a serial womanizer who the players did not respect. Dave Rader was fired mid-season 1999, which was a totally bungled deal. Mid-season (or late season now) firings rarely produce positive results, unless waking a program out of a coma is achieved.
I think we should fire him late season to get ahead of the coaching hire. There is no other reason to do it, other than that.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

Trump fear mongered and Kamala fear mongered. Kamala lost, so that's why we are focusing on her fear mongering. Trump will cause more fear mongering, some justified, and some not. That's just reality. It plays a part in why she lost, but so does her having to live under the pretense that she was an incumbent. Incumbents have to deal with their failures more than those who aren't incumbents. She should have focused on her future policies more, but you don't know that for sure, until you lose. All in all, it was a popularity contest. That's pretty bad, when you lose a popularity contest to DJT.
She did not fear monger. She just reminded people of the demonstrated risks of Trump.

I agree that her policy ideas were light.
  • Like
Reactions: astonmartin708

2024 Election prediction/discussion

Trump fear mongered and Kamala fear mongered. Kamala lost, so that's why we are focusing on her fear mongering. Trump will cause more fear mongering, some justified, and some not. That's just reality. It plays a part in why she lost, but so does her having to live under the pretense that she was an incumbent, and incumbents have to deal with their failures more than those who aren't incumbents. She should have focused on her future policies more, but you don't know that for sure, until you lose. All in all, it was a popularity contest. That's pretty bad, when you lose a popularity contest to DJT.
Well stated
ADVERTISEMENT

Filter

ADVERTISEMENT