ADVERTISEMENT

2024 Election prediction/discussion

Trump may win the national popular vote. Would be a significant upset should that occur
You and I talked about this years ago in the inflation thread. It skews politics all to hell.

People vote for low taxes and low grocery bills, unless they can see a benefit up front. Like better schools.

It’s not over yet but even Obama would struggle to win with numbers like these. Trump is winning a majority black county in NC.

And we talked about the possibility of him winning the popular vote and losing the election a couple of weeks ago. Could still happen.

So a surprise? Not exactly? An upset? I guess if you are part of the elite and assumed he couldn’t win or Selzer and aspired to be part of that group and their mutual admiration, then yeah an upset.

People out there knocking on doors? I suspect on both sides this isn’t a surprise or an upset. Ground gamers know the score after two or three cycles.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

Y’all can go to bed. The Harris people are saying it will go to the a.m. and she won’t concede tonight if it goes that way.

It’s still early but the basic strategy we started talking about 18 months ago appears to hold true. Trump had to hold serve, win GA and NC, and leverage enough votes in well defined key areas of either Michigan or PA. It’s still early, but if he wins those areas of PA, and again it’s literally down to known specific numbers of votes in particular households, then that might be called around midnight, and if he wins PA, she can’t win.

It’s interesting television, that’s for sure, even the folks just babbling and the one who have to be told what to say. Surprised to see MSNBC spending a couple of minutes explaining logic and accuracy testing on polling machines and how results are up loaded as part of voting systems certification. Nice civics lesson for most of their viewers.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

Trump is going to win Iowa by 12 points. Ann Selzer should be ashamed. She intentional put out bad polling numbers in an effort to influence the election for her party. She should be done as a reputable pollster.
*takes a bow*

All of these people have mortgages. And their own bias. Somebody offers you enough to retire, you take it. Especially if this is your last cycle. Never forget that when these people are telling you what to think.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

Really surprises me. Perhaps it speaks to how politics differ between the city proper and other communities in Tulsa County.

I would be very curious to see how the presidential vote ends up in City of Tulsa. Not an easy number to get

Looks like Nichols will be our next mayor. No idea about the presidential vote in the City of Tulsa. Trump is going to carry Tulsa County by double digits. The burbs are obviously heavily Pub

Nichols wins. Glad I was wrong about the mayors race.
  • Like
Reactions: TU 1978

Yanks in the UK & Europe

Pulisic had an assist on Milan's 1st goal today vs Real Madrid, and would have had a secondary assist on their 2nd goal if soccer recognized them. He mad a brilliant pass in to Leao who turned and fired a shot in goal which was saved and another Milan player pounced on the rebound and put it in. When I was going through the major moments recap, Pulisic was assisting on the majority of Milan's shots. Some of the UCL studio guys were saying he was the best player on the field today and we're talking against a Real Madrid team with Kylian Mbappe, Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Jr. , and Luka Modric. AC Milan won 3-1 in a mild upset playing in the Bernabeu. Musah also started and played some good minutes for Milan as well.

Again, Pulisic is one of the best players in the world right now.

Malik Tillman scored for PSV in the 4-0 win over Girona.

In other news, Sargent is out until 2025 after tearing a groin that will need to be repaired surgically. Definitely will hurt Norwich City.
  • Like
Reactions: quincy101

2024 Election prediction/discussion

I would encourage everyone to view exit polls with a skeptical eye. Those same exit polls show Trump winning independents in Georgia by 11 points and getting 25% of black males. Skeptical of both those numbers.
Certainly. We have a real poll going on! Still it is interesting to see these things to assess if they are pointing similar directions.
  • Like
Reactions: lawpoke87
ADVERTISEMENT

Filter

ADVERTISEMENT