effects. not affects. Though I suppose one might have both.but the affects remain, thanks joe
effects. not affects. Though I suppose one might have both.but the affects remain, thanks joe
thankseffects. not affects. Though I suppose one might have both.
aTUfan's affects are not related to the economy.effects. not affects. Though I suppose one might have both.
Reminds me of FRED data chart depicting when Biden decided to add savings accounts to the M1 money supply.
You think it’s been tamed? By who?So, this thread began in May 2021…. 3 years later and it seems somewhat like the inflation monster has been tamed…. There are certainly many hurdles in front of us, but for the time being, the treasury has effectively pumped the brakes on the US economy. I’m now willing to say that the lagged effects from Covid and the geo-economic effects of the Russian incursion into Ukraine have been brought into market balance.
“Transitory” is a subjective term I suppose.
And you believed this?More signs that Sanctions on Russia are starting to bite….
Russian Food Suppliers Warn of Price Hikes Up to 40% - The Moscow Times
Suppliers of bread, dairy, chocolate and beer in Russia have informed retailers of impending price increases of up to 40% over the next month, the business daily Kommersant reported Thursday, citing price-increase notices from at least 13 companies.www.themoscowtimes.com
I have also seen where supposedly 98% of Chinese banks have begun refusing direct payment on notes from Russia under threat if sanctions from the US.
Thanks Obama!?Powell just stated the Fed will begin cutting rates. This coming after the government reduced the number of jobs created by almost 1M. Indicating the labor market has been weaker than reported for a significant period of time. I’m not sure of the process involved in coming up with our monthly labor reports but I know it needs to improve.
Markets are up on the news and bond yields are down. All good news.
You guys are too old. It's an internet meme.Meant to type Biden? Freudian slip?
I don't keep up with social media anymore.You guys are too old. It's an internet meme.
Hey there’s more reason to celebrate everydayPowell just stated the Fed will begin cutting rates. This coming after the government reduced the number of jobs created by almost 1M. Indicating the labor market has been weaker than reported for a significant period of time. I’m not sure of the process involved in coming up with our monthly labor reports but I know it needs to improve.
Markets are up on the news and bond yields are down. All good news.
The bond market has surprisingly reacted positively to Trumps election. Mortgage rates have dropped .almost a full 1/2 point since his election. I would continue to watch the ten year bond but at least to date it doesn’t appear additional inflation is being added into the marketBefore Trump’s election, Redfin Corp. projected mortgage rates would average 6.1% next year. But three days after the election, they revised their estimate upward to 6.8%–basically unchanged from today’s high levels. “The difference is Trump,” said Daryl Fairweather, chief economist at Redfin. “The market seems to be pricing in that he’ll move forward with at least some of the tariffs.” It’s another hit for the housing market that’s been dealing with a rise in borrowing costs that’s pushed at least one measure of mortgage rates above 7%. Economists expecting higher-for-longer borrowing costs shows just how tough the market is likely to be for homebuyers trying to find affordable options.
You're welcome for your soft landing. Time to go out and wreck it.The bond market has surprisingly reacted positively to Trumps election. Mortgage rates have dropped .almost a full 1/2 point since his election. I would continue to watch the ten year bond but at least to date it doesn’t appear additional inflation is being added into the market
Would have preferred a little harder landing with less inflation and lower borrowing costs .You're welcome for your soft landing. Time to go out and wreck it.
I always thought mortgage rates followed the bond market much more closely than the fed reserve rate.Feds cut rates a quarter of a point. Mortgage rates immediately spike. Not really sure what we’re doing here with this rate cut.
Follows the 10 year bond which immediate spiked upon the rate cut. Bond market sees the cut as inflationary. Stock market is also down more than 500 points from the announcement of the cut. No one is viewing this action as a positive other than maybe the large banks who now have cheaper moneyI always thought mortgage rates followed the bond market much more closely than the fed reserve rate.
No, because it typically comes with economic depression and many people losing their means to satisfy their necessary cost of living. Think about the 1930's.economics students; what is the corelation of inflation and cost of living? does deflation have an opposite raction?
so how do you bring prices down after a long perIod of time with high inflation?No, because it typically comes with economic depression and many people losing their means to satisfy their necessary cost of living. Think about the 1930's.
Generally, you have to wait for prices to catch up with the wages through a recession that slows down inflation, and/or brings about deflation.so how do you bring prices down after a long perIod of time with high inflation?
The real question / dilemma is how long does it take wages to catch up with the aggregate price increases we’ve seen over the past 3 plus years? Basically, to get us to the same buying power we were in 2020.Generally, you have to wait for prices to catch up with the wages through a recession that slows down inflation, and/or brings about deflation.
The 80's were fine after Carter & the '82 recession. That only lasted a year and a half. I think we'll be fine.The real question / dilemma is how long does it take wages to catch up with the aggregate price increases we’ve seen over the past 3 plus years? Basically, to get us to the same buying power we were in 2020.
It took the worst recession since WW2 and unemployment rates over 10% to bring prices down. Not sure we’re prepared for that kind of economic pain. Nor do I foresee similar economic conditions which would bring prices back in line with wages. Guess we will see. Housing is a huge issue as rates remain stubbornly high as the Fed seems more concerned with growth than inflationThe 80's were fine after Carter & the '82 recession. That only lasted a year and a half. I think we'll be fine.
Low rates wouldn't really help the situation though.... it would just drive up real estate prices / equities more.It took the worst recession since WW2 and unemployment rates over 10% to bring prices down. Not sure we’re prepared for that kind of economic pain. Nor do I foresee similar economic conditions which would bring prices back in line with wages. Guess we will see. Housing is a huge issue as rates remain stubbornly high as the Fed seems more concerned with growth than inflation
No. Technological innovation is. Oil is certainly a facilitator, but its use for transportation is theoretically removeable / replaceable removable ( this does not include petrochemical, lubricants, and plastics)OIL is the cornerstone of our economy.
the price of oil drives our economyNo. Technological innovation is. Oil is certainly a facilitator, but its use for transportation is theoretically removeable / replaceable removable ( this does not include petrochemical, lubricants, and plastics)
The price of energy heavily influences the economy, yes.... but do remember that the same oil companies who promote "drill baby drill" also prefer the price to be high.the price of oil drives our economy