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2024 Election prediction/discussion

L
drboobay said:
Old folks vote most and know her. Hard to have a negative view of Karen Keith. She is very bland.

I am voting for Monroe. Not a single Keith or Republican sign in my Tracy Park neighborhood. Not one. Lots of signs for Monroe who has done a good job as our representative.
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Monroe is fighting some headwinds imo. I expect a fairly conservative electorate in Tulsa. Wish he would have tried to appeal more to the center instead of cozying up to the local Dem party. I think he’s going to need this independent votes. Would be happy to be wrong here.
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2024 Election prediction/discussion

L
TU_BLA said:
Everyone can take that poll with a grain of salt...but when you look at the track record and history of that poll in Iowa, they have not been off by more than +/- 1 pt in either direction of the actual vote except for once in the last 6 elections I believe.

It won't matter though...Trump can lose some of those swing states by 75k votes and he'll still have an army of lawyers contesting the results saying absentee ballots shouldn't be counted, voters he will argue are ineligible should have been purged, etc. He has already hinted that he and Mike Johnson have a handshake deal to derail the Congressional certification of electoral votes and I'd be willing to bet there will be another Jan. 6th (on whatever appropriate date) incident except this time it will be a lot of MAGA blood spilled because the national guard will be there and ready and basically daring the mob to FAFO. (Philadelphia's DA has already told the "militia" in that county to tread lightly with their presence at polling places because he is making sure they know if the FA they will FO).
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Only the Pubs with an army of lawyers huh. I know I shouldn’t be but I’m still surprised to see intelligent people completely blind to seeing both sides

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2024 Election prediction/discussion

D
lawpoke87 said:
I can’t vote in the mayoral race either. Drove past a couple of polling places on my way to work this morning and I’ve never seen lines to vote like this. I think Keith gets the independent and Pub vote and it’s enough to carry her across the finish line. Nichols made a mistake taking assistance from the Dem party and blocking Keith from the same. That will hurt him with independents.
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Old folks vote most and know her. Hard to have a negative view of Karen Keith. She is very bland.

I am voting for Monroe. Not a single Keith or Republican sign in my Tracy Park neighborhood. Not one. Lots of signs for Monroe who has done a good job as our representative.
Click to expand...

2024 Election prediction/discussion

L
TU_BLA said:
I don't get to vote in the Tulsa mayoral election because I live in BA but I suspect you're correct. The Van Norman voters will predictably vote for Karen Keith for the obvious reasons they voted for the old white guy in the 1st place. The only thing that saves Monroe Nichols is a larger than expected voter turnout from midtown and north Tulsa, which could happen because of the presidential race
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I can’t vote in the mayoral race either. Drove past a couple of polling places on my way to work this morning and I’ve never seen lines to vote like this. I think Keith gets the independent and Pub vote and it’s enough to carry her across the finish line. Nichols made a mistake taking assistance from the Dem party and blocking Keith from the same. That will hurt him with independents.
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2024 Election prediction/discussion

TU_BLA
lawpoke87 said:
Bonus pick….Keith wins mayoral race by 5 points. Zero data here just a gut feeling.
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I don't get to vote in the Tulsa mayoral election because I live in BA but I suspect you're correct. The Van Norman voters will predictably vote for Karen Keith for the obvious reasons they voted for the old white guy in the 1st place. The only thing that saves Monroe Nichols is a larger than expected voter turnout from midtown and north Tulsa, which could happen because of the presidential race
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2024 Election prediction/discussion

TU_BLA
lawpoke87 said:
Yes. If Harris is up 3 in Iowa she will win states like Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. I also like her chances in North Carolina.
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Everyone can take that poll with a grain of salt...but when you look at the track record and history of that poll in Iowa, they have not been off by more than +/- 1 pt in either direction of the actual vote except for once in the last 6 elections I believe.

It won't matter though...Trump can lose some of those swing states by 75k votes and he'll still have an army of lawyers contesting the results saying absentee ballots shouldn't be counted, voters he will argue are ineligible should have been purged, etc. He has already hinted that he and Mike Johnson have a handshake deal to derail the Congressional certification of electoral votes and I'd be willing to bet there will be another Jan. 6th (on whatever appropriate date) incident except this time it will be a lot of MAGA blood spilled because the national guard will be there and ready and basically daring the mob to FAFO. (Philadelphia's DA has already told the "militia" in that county to tread lightly with their presence at polling places because he is making sure they know if the FA they will FO).
Click to expand...

2024 Election prediction/discussion

L
Election Day final predictions.

Trump wins Ga, NC, Zona and Nevada.

Harris wins MI, WI, PA and NH. Which gives her the presidency.

Harris wins popular vote by 2.5%.

Pubs win Senate. Dems win House.

At the end of the day in all depends on turnout. Pubs have performed very well in the early vote. My assumption is the Election Day Pub voting advantaging will be down due to all the early voting. I’m looking at Florida today to see the Election Day vote breakdown by party. Anything 20 points or over by the Pubs would be a good sign nationwide. Anything less validates my opinion of a voting pattern shift by the Pubs to early voting.

Bonus pick….Keith wins mayoral race by 5 points. Zero data here just a gut feeling.
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📝 Larry Lewis Tulsa defeats NSU in season opener

Chris Harmon
When saying “He’s back!”, that could mean either TU legend Ken Hayes, or TU sharpshooter Keaston Willis. Either way, both had their own significant impact on a fun 82-68 season opening win for Tulsa over Northeastern State on Monday night in front of 2,874 fans at the Reynolds Center. Willis led the way with 17 points, including 5 of 9 in shooting 3-pointers, on what was Ken Hayes Day.

tulsa.rivals.com

Tulsa defeats Northeastern State in season opener

Sharpshooter Keaston Willis led Tulsa to a comfortable 82-68 opening win over Northeastern State on Monday.
tulsa.rivals.com tulsa.rivals.com
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📝 Larry Lewis Recap + Video: TU defeats Northeastern State in season opener

Chris Harmon
When saying “He’s back!”, that could mean either TU legend Ken Hayes, or TU sharpshooter Keaston Willis. Either way, both had their own significant impact on a fun 82-68 season opening win for Tulsa over Northeastern State on Monday night in front of 2,874 fans at the Reynolds Center. Willis led the way with 17 points, including 5 of 9 in shooting 3-pointers, on what was Ken Hayes Day.

tulsa.rivals.com

Tulsa defeats Northeastern State in season opener

Sharpshooter Keaston Willis led Tulsa to a comfortable 82-68 opening win over Northeastern State on Monday.
tulsa.rivals.com tulsa.rivals.com
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NSU thread

G
dlsnid said:
From what I have seen in practice Willis has been the only consistent shooter I talked to Garcia when I was at practice Wednesday and he said it would be another month and half before he is playing which would put it middle of November we need him playing good Maybe some others will pick up the shooting. I am hoping for a little over .500 record
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Could see him in the ORU game. I think we can pull off a win against Arkansas Pine Bluff w/o him. They can't be much better than a D2 team.
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NSU thread

astonmartin708
hotterthanyourhusbandTU said:
Hard to gauge.

Wish all bigs were available. Sminkle was a bright spot. Very active.

It’s seems like we have 25 guards available for 3 spots on the court. We’ll see how this shakes out.

Looks like last year’s team. Maybe a bit more athletic, but not as good without Haggerty.
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I think the Haggerty hero ball was very predictable last year, and the fact that he couldn't shoot an 3 point shot didn't help.

If we can get the forwards back we might be better than last year.

Reed is kinda garbage. Odom & Willis will probably average more points than Haggerty did.
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NSU thread

I
t-townpod said:
need to see Garcia. Without him long season.
Our defense is not good. Slow switches and constantly beaten with help defense leaving huge open threes.
Offense totally dependent on shooting 3’s. Dribble drive slow and no inside game.
Reed looks timid. Wish Odom could shoot, rest of his game solid!
Nash could be good if he developed a shot.
Disappointed in Barnes and Reed. Was hoping for more from them.
Smile needs lots of minutes to develop. He could develop with his body.
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Nice report. Odom and Willis are about 24 years old and you can see the difference they make. Odom has maybe the best A/T ratio of any TU PG in a long time and I like he and Archie playing together. Barnes struggles to dribble to the rim. If he works on that he is tough. Reed might need to put back on the weight. McWright is a Kansas level defender....just needs some offense. Got to make free throws.
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