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2024 Election prediction/discussion

Fed has very little to do with interest rates on real estate. In fact, in the current environment mortgage rates would likely increase if the Fed lowered rates. Which is exactly what occurred last month.
Deregulation and tax cuts will always make business feel better…. No way we need to worry about consequences. Trump has it all handled! He has the best people!

2024 Election prediction/discussion

The market is up today on the news of yesterday’s election. However, interest rates are up as well. The issue of housing affordability continues to be a real problem and will likely get worse before it gets better.
It is going to be interesting when interest rates go up and Trump demands the Fed lower rates because his properties might be underwater.

Youth soccer club

You will still have trapped kids at U13 and U19. Think of all the parents who hold their kids back a year because they have a late June/July birthday. Around here they do it so they'll be bigger for football when they get to school ball. But that's still going to put them playing soccer with the wrong grade of kids. And the clubs all want to say not to play up because there is a difference, especially early on (u13/u14), with lots of kids and growing at different stages. I was never a fan of the school year age groups and my son was part of the 1st group for birth year. His best friend, 32 days older, was moved to the 2005 age group while my son was a 2006. At least with birth year there is no doubt which age group you belong to.
This goes on.

Quit calling it the school year. It is August - July based. You will still call it by year, as we did before. You will again.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

IMO, if that were the case, Harris would've won this election. Her campaign seemed to be based mostly on fear, propped up by numerous hoaxes. I think that backfired, as that is much harder to do in this day and age, where folks can look up full clips to see what a candidate actually said. Granted, there are still plenty of people out there that just believe what they see on social media and national news, but, obviously, enough folks did their research to see what was true and what wasn't. I think that was the difference in this election. Had the democrats ran Bobby Jr. or some other moderate liberal candidate with solid ideas for change, I think they would've had a very good chance of winning...by a lot.
Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahhahahahahahahahahahahahajajajajajajajajaja.

Good one! You really had me going.

“Did their research” man you are funny. We need to get you on a stage.

Fire him TOMORROW!

Of course, I was referring to recruits and players. And there were deficiencies on offense for the 2012 team that Blankenship couldn't recruit to fix. He just had a defense to cover them up.
I agree, it was Grahams recruits to a large part, but I’m not sure if that team wins 10 games under Graham’s tenure. Not saying it couldn’t have…. But Graham never had the defense up to the standard that it ended up at.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

The American voting populous is incredibly reactionary and incredibly gullible.
IMO, if that were the case, Harris would've won this election. Her campaign seemed to be based mostly on fear, propped up by numerous hoaxes. I think that backfired, as that is much harder to do in this day and age, where folks can look up full clips to see what a candidate actually said. Granted, there are still plenty of people out there that just believe what they see on social media and national news, but, obviously, enough folks did their research to see what was true and what wasn't. I think that was the difference in this election. Had the democrats ran Bobby Jr. or some other moderate liberal candidate with solid ideas for change, I think they would've had a very good chance of winning...by a lot.
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2024 Election prediction/discussion

Huffy is no fool. Intellectually he has shown his merit here often. He has not even been a Trump advocate prior to this election, preferring to observe and comment rather than persuade.
Oh. I’m sure him and his buddies have everything figured out. “Trump will fix it” was a slogan I was seeing tossed around a few days before the election. How reassuring for me! Consider me a convert.

I have nothing to worry about. I’ll make sure to tell the girls dying in the hospitals for lack of care the same. Trump will save them! Praise Trump! Praise the Grand Ole Party! Everything is going to be okay for now we have Trump. 😁

I’ll make sure to tell the children in the schools to make sure they pray as hard as they can to the great leader so he will save them the next time their school goes into lockdown.

He will fix it.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

Exactly.

i thought you said the inflationary experience is over. When prices don’t deflate, and wages remain static, for nearly all of America, the inflation isn’t over.
The market is up today on the news of yesterday’s election. However, interest rates are up as well. The issue of housing affordability continues to be a real problem and will likely get worse before it gets better.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

Exactly.
Prices rarely deflate, they just rise at a lower rate, and the economy spends a few years catching up to the cost in wages. The last time deflation happened with any great verve was the depression. Deflation doesn't even happen in a recession for the most part. It is avoided at all costs because of all of its negative consequences. We certainly don't desire a contraction in money supply.

The same arguments can be made against Trump. You aren't throating a true argument for or against one candidate because Trump doesn't have a good plan for the economy either. And Trump/Covid can be partially blamed for the inflationary period as well as Biden's policies.
i thought you said the inflationary experience is over. When prices don’t deflate, and wages remain static, for nearly all of America, the inflation isn’t over.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

This wasn’t a compelling argument in part because she was unable, and in some cases unwilling, to articulate any credible economic policy that convinced the American people that inflation wouldn’t rise even further. Indeed her only proposal was widely panned across her entire party as sophomoric and destined to fail. She spent the rest of the campaign hoping people forgot about it.

Well, predictions in the demise of the institutions of this country have been greatly exaggerated. Time and again, they have held the leadership accountable. The people did it today and they did it in 2020 and they did it in 1992 for that matter.
Prices rarely deflate, they just rise at a lower rate, and the economy spends a few years catching up to the cost in wages. The last time deflation happened with any great verve was the depression. Deflation doesn't even happen in a recession for the most part. It is avoided at all costs because of all of its negative consequences. We certainly don't desire a contraction in money supply.

The same arguments can be made against Trump. You aren't throating a true argument for or against one candidate because Trump doesn't have a good plan for the economy either. And Trump/Covid can be partially blamed for the inflationary period as well as Biden's policies.
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2024 Election prediction/discussion

Biden’s approval rating was 15 plus points underwater. 3/4 of Americans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction. You manage to ditch Biden. Anyone have any insight on why you replace him with his inarticulate VP knowing those numbers? Could they not get away from the DEI choice ?
We will know soon enough. The knives are already out as these people scramble to find jobs.

They are blaming a lot of it publicly on staff dysfunction. And that’s certainly possible. It took 30 years to retire all the know it alls from the Kennedy years. It’s looking like they needed to keep the government staffed and give the Biden campaign and presidential staff expectations of continuing into a second term, they needed Obama’s fundraising machine, Hillary’s ground game, and Harris had her own people who are notoriously difficult to deal with.

Normally you would spend 4 to 8 years getting your own fundraising machine and 2 to 4 building your ground game.

They had to Frankenstein something together and she made the most sense and offered the best stability and continuity as we wait to see if there is war in the Middle East or the economy tanks.

So underskilled candidate, no time, no continuity on the staff appears to be the early post mortem.

What will be really interesting is if there was contingency planning as her running if he died. And then the worst happened. He didn’t die, but wasn’t viable so they only had one Plan B and they went with it.

Looking at these numbers, you wonder if Obama or W on their best days could have won. I thought he could win narrowly and likely would. This wasn’t even close. People are pissed.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

You’re not alone. Only 32% of the electorate yesterday identified themselves as Democrats. I assume Republican ID is down as well though likely not to that extent. Personally, I’m glad to see signs we are growing weary of the two parties. If I can take a positive from yesterday it’s the thought that maybe we are beginning to hold our elected offices accountable.
I really like our open primary approach for Tulsa city offices. It has become more partisan but that is ok. No harm in people declaring their affiliations.

I would LOVE to see a similar system in place for state and national elections. Pretty sure there is an initiative petition underway at the state level where a similar system, but with party affiliations allowed to be listed, could get a vote. That is the sort of thing that would get Vote Yes signs in my yard. Probably a donation too.

2024 Election prediction/discussion

Upon reflection, I have just as often picked losers in my history as a voter.

Bush
Clinton
Dole (l)
Gore (l)
Bush
McCane (l)
Obama

This is the juncture where I changed my registration from Reoublican to unaffiliated.

Clinton (l)
Biden
Harris (l)

I still think I was right every time and that our country would be better off if everyone did what I did :)
You’re not alone. Only 32% of the electorate yesterday identified themselves as Democrats. I assume Republican ID is down as well though likely not to that extent. Personally, I’m glad to see signs we are growing weary of the two parties. If I can take a positive from yesterday it’s the thought that maybe we are beginning to hold our elected offices accountable.
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2024 Election prediction/discussion

Biden’s approval rating was 15 plus points underwater. 3/4 of Americans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction. You manage to ditch Biden. Anyone have any insight on why you replace him with his inarticulate VP knowing those numbers? Could they not get away from the DEI choice ?
Too late in the cycle. That simple. Biden bears a ton of responsibility for trying to run again.
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2024 Election prediction/discussion

Upon reflection, I have just as often picked losers in my history as a voter.

Bush
Clinton
Dole (l)
Gore (l)
Bush
McCane (l)
Obama

This is the juncture where I changed my registration from Reoublican to unaffiliated.

Clinton (l)
Biden
Harris (l)

I still think I was right every time and that our country would be better off if everyone did what I did :)
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