Facts:
Five games remain and 2 of our opponents have winning records, 2 have losing records and 1 is 500. We play Memphis (4 and 4) on the road. The teams with winning records are split between home and road and the losing record teams are also split.
Our past opponents are 4 with winning record (we beat 1 JSU) and 3 with losing records (we beat 2). We are 2 and 1 at home and 1 and 3 on the road. We have scored 225 point (high of 54 JSU and low of 21 to both Cincinnati and Navy) and given up 227 points (high of 53 to Navy and low of 16 to Temple). Mediocrity at its best.
Analysis:
Any way you slice it we are very average at best. Arguments can be made that with a healthy Brin either or both of the Ole Miss and UC games could be different results. One could conclude that even a healthy Brin and reasonable scoring (30 plus points) would not have helped our defense stop Navy. Wyoming was a winnable game without the mistakes we made. Our game against NIU should have been a blow out but questionable decisions allowed them back in the game and forced us to come from behind.
This staff and team seem to get up for big games and at least keep the margin reasonable but likewise they are not prepared or make bad decisions against teams that on paper (odds) they should beat (Wyoming, NIU, Navy and Temple - we are 2 and 2 and could be 3 and 1 or 0 and 4). My take is we will win 1 or 2 games against teams where we will not be favored (SMU, Tulane, Memphis or UH) but very well may lose to a bad USF on the road. Not sure how we get three wins for bowl eligibility without better preparation, fewer turnovers, some help on the injury front and better in game coaching (adjustments, time management, play calling, etc…).
Being a TU fan and supporting our players and university I want to see us win every remaining game even if it means we have to keep Monty, which I can’t believe I am writing! However I just don’t see any way we win more than two. The real irony will be if we are 5 and 6 going in to the UH game and beat them to go to a bowl, send them off to the little 12 and have to keep Monty!
Opponents results and records
Cincinnati W 6 and 1
Tulane W (future game) 7 and 1
UH W (future game) 4 and 3
Ole Miss L 7 and 1
Jacksonville St L 6 and 2
SMOO L (future game) 3 and 4
Memphis L (future game) 4 and 4
Temple L 2 and 5
Wyoming W 5 and 3
Navy L 2 and 5
NIU L 2 and 6
USF DNP (future game) 1 and 6
other conference teams
ECU W 5 and 3
UCF L 5 and 2
Five games remain and 2 of our opponents have winning records, 2 have losing records and 1 is 500. We play Memphis (4 and 4) on the road. The teams with winning records are split between home and road and the losing record teams are also split.
Our past opponents are 4 with winning record (we beat 1 JSU) and 3 with losing records (we beat 2). We are 2 and 1 at home and 1 and 3 on the road. We have scored 225 point (high of 54 JSU and low of 21 to both Cincinnati and Navy) and given up 227 points (high of 53 to Navy and low of 16 to Temple). Mediocrity at its best.
Analysis:
Any way you slice it we are very average at best. Arguments can be made that with a healthy Brin either or both of the Ole Miss and UC games could be different results. One could conclude that even a healthy Brin and reasonable scoring (30 plus points) would not have helped our defense stop Navy. Wyoming was a winnable game without the mistakes we made. Our game against NIU should have been a blow out but questionable decisions allowed them back in the game and forced us to come from behind.
This staff and team seem to get up for big games and at least keep the margin reasonable but likewise they are not prepared or make bad decisions against teams that on paper (odds) they should beat (Wyoming, NIU, Navy and Temple - we are 2 and 2 and could be 3 and 1 or 0 and 4). My take is we will win 1 or 2 games against teams where we will not be favored (SMU, Tulane, Memphis or UH) but very well may lose to a bad USF on the road. Not sure how we get three wins for bowl eligibility without better preparation, fewer turnovers, some help on the injury front and better in game coaching (adjustments, time management, play calling, etc…).
Being a TU fan and supporting our players and university I want to see us win every remaining game even if it means we have to keep Monty, which I can’t believe I am writing! However I just don’t see any way we win more than two. The real irony will be if we are 5 and 6 going in to the UH game and beat them to go to a bowl, send them off to the little 12 and have to keep Monty!
Opponents results and records
Cincinnati W 6 and 1
Tulane W (future game) 7 and 1
UH W (future game) 4 and 3
Ole Miss L 7 and 1
Jacksonville St L 6 and 2
SMOO L (future game) 3 and 4
Memphis L (future game) 4 and 4
Temple L 2 and 5
Wyoming W 5 and 3
Navy L 2 and 5
NIU L 2 and 6
USF DNP (future game) 1 and 6
other conference teams
ECU W 5 and 3
UCF L 5 and 2
