Games of Interest (3.6.20)

[loca2874]

I love waking up knowing that Tulsa is a conference Champion regardless of the outcome Sunday!!!!

This would have been integrated in the last post if it wasn't for the Boise State vs San Diego State game. Boise is playing the NET 4 team in the semifinal. This could be a huge win for Boise but it could also take away one of the spots in the tournament.

Todays Games

Boise State (90) vs San Diego State (4) MWC Tournament
Austin Peay (156) vs Murray State (139) OVC Tournament

NET Rankings Through March 5

Houston (20) Down 1
Wichita St (48) Down 4
Cincinnati (49) Up 1
Memphis (60) Up 5
UConn (61) Up 2
Tulsa (75) No Change
SMU (88) Up 2
Temple (114) Up 1
South FL. (127) Up 1
UCF (130) Up 1
Tulane (171) Up 3
ECU (201) Up 1

Quadrant Tracker

Q1

Win

UConn (A) - W (61)
Houston (H) - W (20)

Loss

Arkansas (A) - L (43)
Cincinnati (A) - L (49)
Houston (A) - L (20)

Q2

Win

Memphis (H) - W (60)
Wichita State (H) - W (48)
USF (A) - W (127)
Temple (A) - W (114)

Loss

UT Arlington (A) - L (128)
Kansas State (A) - L (101)
UConn (H) - L (61)
UCF (A) - L (130)

Q3

Win

Vanderbilt (A) - W (149)
Boise State (H) - W (90)
Temple (H) - W (114)
ECU (A) - W (201)
Tulane (A) - W (171)
SMU (H) - W (88)
Oral Roberts (H) - W (150)
UCF (H) - W (130)
Austin Peay (H) - W (156)

Loss

Colorado State (N) - L (107)

Q4

Wins

Houston Baptist (H) - W (344)
Southeastern LA (H) - W (341)
South Carolina State (H) - W (327)
Arkansas Pine Bluff (H) - W (348)
ECU (H) - W (201)
Tulane (H) - W (171)

Loss

Arkansas State (H) - L (206)

 

[Weatherdemon]

Realistically, how far up can TU move if they win:

@ #48 WSU
N vs #127 USF
N vs #48 WSU
N L vs #20 UH
(From a quick glance of likely matchups from the AAC board assuming we win Sunday.)

I’m thinking maybe 65 unless we unexpectedly win each game by 10-15?

 

[loca2874]

Realistically, how far up can TU move if they win:

@ #48 WSU
N vs #127 USF
N vs #48 WSU
N L vs #49 UH
(From uick glance of likely matchups from the AAC board assuming we win Sunday.)

I’m thinking maybe 65 unless we unexpectedly win each game by 10-15?

We probably will have to win the tourney but I am hopeful. Never know what the committee is thinking. Also Houston is #20

 

[hotterthanyourhusbandTU]

Are those NET rankings?

If so, Houston’s is way higher than 49.

 

[lawpoke87]

Win the next three and I like our chances. AAC gets three bids imo. We would be that third team with three more wins.

 

[Weatherdemon]

We probably will have to win the tourney but I am hopeful. Never know what the committee is thinking. Also Houston is #20

My bad on the UH ranking. Thanks man!

 

[loca2874]

Win the next three and I like our chances. AAC gets three bids imo. We would be that third team with three more wins.

I am with you on this but with about 21 teams playing for about 9-12 spots makes it tough to guess

 

[TU_BLA]

What is the likelihood the committee takes whatever the two teams in the AAC final are plus one other?

If Tulsa and Houston played in the final next Sunday and then they took 1 of Cincinnati/WSU/Memphis. If us and UCONN make the final, plus 1 of Houston/Cincinnati/WSU.

(If UCONN makes the AAC final I think it's all but a certainly they make the tournament with the roll they've been on and the media darlings they are).

 

[dfwcanefan]

I don't underestimate the potential for Committee laziness, so one thing to keep in mind (if we win our next 3 and then lose the final) is that they may not want to have to make multiple brackets late Sunday afternoon.

This could potentially help us if we're playing Houston (the lazy move is to just put us in the non play-in field) but could hurt us if we're playing someone like UConn (in which case the temptation would be to create one 12 seed slot for "AAC winner").

 

[nevadanatural]

One of the ironies of Sunday’s game is if we win it’s possible we could face them again in the conference semifinals and our win Sunday would knock them from a Q1 to a Q2 game in FW.

 

[loca2874]

One of the ironies of Sunday’s game is if we win it’s possible we could face them again in the conference semifinals and our win Sunday would knock them from a Q1 to a Q2 game in FW.

It would only be a Q2 if we beat them in Wichita and FW. I am ok with that as it will make us 3-3 in Q1 going into play against possibly Houston

 

[nevadanatural]

People talk a lot about our OOC losses but if you look at our NET trend those losses to UConn and UCF while Brandon was out have a much bigger impact on our current situation. We win those two and our NET is at least in the 50s, maybe high 40s, our Q2 record is 6-2 vs 4-4 and our overall Q1&2 record is 9-6 vs 7-8. If Brandon doesn’t go down vs UConn, when it was a three point game, and we win those two I think we have the at-large even with those early season losses.

 

[drboobay]

And, officially, selection committee must take his absence into account.

 

[libertychamp]

And, officially, selection committee must take his absence into account.

Who’s going to tell the committee does gragg our ad have to fill out paperwork and submit to the committee oh I hope not lol

 

[Gold*]

The committee is going to want to know how we did so poorly early on with the transfers playing.

Oh wait? We didn’t grant them eligibility?

LOL. Kthxbai.

 

[TU1NNJ]

And, officially, selection committee must take his absence into account.

And Joiner was out for Ark St

 

[Tu Geo]

And Rachal was out for @UCF

 

[I.I.]

The committee is going to want to know how we did so poorly early on with the transfers playing.

Oh wait? We didn’t grant them eligibility?

LOL. Kthxbai.

Well, "I thought Tulsa had two transfers eligible since Houston had a 5 star starter from KU eligible and Cincy had that 7 footer from Northern Kentucky eligible. What happened to Tulsa in that deal?"

 

[rusty-c]

Who’s going to tell the committee does gragg our ad have to fill out paperwork and submit to the committee oh I hope not lol

I sure the hell hope not...

 

[libertychamp]

Keep an eye on Boise state who is beating #5 San Diego st 27 14 with 5 in the half to go

 

[libertychamp]

Question for loca if Boise can win this game and go into Mwc finals how much would this bump our net if they game on

 

[tulsahurricane0530]

I'm not loca, and everyone may have a different view, but I dont think boise winning to bump our net up a few spots is worth losing an at large spot. Just my take, but with boise beating them, that's one less at large up for grabs

 

[libertychamp]

I'm not loca, and everyone may have a different view, but I dont think boise winning to bump our net up a few spots is worth losing an at large spot. Just my take, but with boise beating them, that's one less at large up for grabs

Good point SDSU is now taking control and mwc tourney winner other than SDSU would steal a bid ours

 

[loca2874]

I'm not loca, and everyone may have a different view, but I dont think boise winning to bump our net up a few spots is worth losing an at large spot. Just my take, but with boise beating them, that's one less at large up for grabs

That is correct. Having that open spot helps us out more than a small net bump

 

[loca2874]

Austin Peay and Boise both lost and possibly ended their season tonite