Looks like we're lining up to have a winnable first game but almost certainly will have seed 1 - 3 (probably 1 or 2) in the second game. So probably reasonable to hope to win 1 game. Of Memphis, UAB or UNT, I'd probably prefer Memphis in game 2. They have the most talent but coaching matters more at this point than during the regular season and they're weakest of the top 3. Hopefully finish 8 or 9. Anyway, I don't think a second win is very likely.