If we win the tourney, we get an auto bid. The only auto bids that play in a playin game is the 16/16 play in game which is reserved for the bottom two conferences.
Posted from Rivals Mobile
Posted from Rivals Mobile
Conference tourneys
- Thread starter mcane
- Start date
as of 12:00 AM on 3/13, Lunardi now has........
Last 4 IN:
Ole Miss
Texas
Temple
Indiana
First 4 OUT:
Miami
UCLA
Tulsa
Old Dominion
He is basically saying that Ole Miss, Texas, and Miami losses did not move their needle one-way or another.
Miami looked absolutely horrible for 30 minutes tonight, the final score is not a reasonable indication of how they performed.
I believe Lunardi has swapped BYU and Ole Miss. I don't see how Texas should still be in the field, I think UCLA should be repalcing Texas according to Joe's lists.
There is a big difference between Lunardi and Palm when it comes to the last 4 IN and first 4 OUT. Both could well be pulling this stuff out of their .....
TX
This post was edited on 3/13 12:05 AM by texcane1982
Autoqualifiers cannot play in one of the #11/#12 first-round games. Reserved for at-large. Still think it is stupid having play-in games for the #16 seeds.
BTW, if we win the AAC tournament, I would project our RPI to jump to about 30 and possibly a 10 seed (maybe 11) both of which I am fine with. Pair us with #7 Iowa and watch us wipe the floor with the slow, unathletic farm boys.
As long as we don't tank today I think we jump into the last 4 in line. Ole Miss and Texas are hanging by a thread right now, IMO. I honestly think OkState is hanging by a thread. Less than spectacular finish to their season combined with they just look horrible right now. That team lacked any energy yesterday and Nash pretty much outscored his teammates. Forte looks like he forgot how to play basketball. Their conditioning looks terrible as well. I am a little surprised that UCLA hasn't moved up to the last 4 in line because they looked pretty impressive vs. USC (Trojans are terrible though). Ole Miss lost to a very bad South Carolina team who has only looked like a basketball team for 2 weeks now. Before they looked like the bad news bears of basketball.
Needs to be a rule...no NCAA tourney if you can't finish with at least a .500 record in your conference. If your conference is so tough then you need to be better.
Needs to be a rule...no NCAA tourney if you can't finish with at least a .500 record in your conference. If your conference is so tough then you need to be better.
I wouldn't disagree with this statement. Lots of fluidity to the bracketologists' prognostications this weekend and all based on results. BYU sitting pretty because they did nothing to remove themselves from consideration and they are done playing. Texas, A&M, Ole Miss and Miami now have to play the waiting game to see what us, Temple, and a few other bubble teams do. UCLA helped itself. Hopefully we can do the same.
But I do agree, we have to win 2 games before things feel solid for me.
+1
Yes, tradition rich schools such as Indiana and UCLA will always get a nod of TU. It would be great if Arizona could run UCLA out of the gym, and if Maryland can do the same to Indiana. Those results and TU beating Houston and UCONN or Cincy probably secures a spot in the "first 4 in".
IMO TU matches up better with Cincy, UCONN is more dynamic offensively and they're very tough at XL Center. If UCONN reaches the semi-finals the XL Center will be packed and TU will be up against a homecourt advantage unlike anything they have faced in their college careers.
TX
This post was edited on 3/13 9:52 AM by texcane1982
Quarterfinals - Friday, March 13
Game 4: Noon ESPN2 - #1 SMU vs #8 East Carolina
Game 5: 2pm ESPN2 - #4 Temple vs #5 Memphis
Game 6: 7pm ESPNU - #2 Tulsa vs #10 Houston
Game 7: 9pm ESPNU - #3 Cincinnati vs #6 UConn
(start times are Eastern)
Game 4: Noon ESPN2 - #1 SMU vs #8 East Carolina
Game 5: 2pm ESPN2 - #4 Temple vs #5 Memphis
Game 6: 7pm ESPNU - #2 Tulsa vs #10 Houston
Game 7: 9pm ESPNU - #3 Cincinnati vs #6 UConn
(start times are Eastern)
Tex, we played at the XL Center earlier this season...TU also played an NCAA tournament game in San Diego against UCLA last year...talk about a virtual homecourt advantage in a huge game. Our guys have played in these situations before.
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/rankings.html
If you go look at the past history for the bracket projections that currently have us in... it's not good. It'll be quite interesting to look at it after (if, knock on wood) we beat Houston and see if some more reputable sources have us in. Based on when our tournament championship is, I doubt the result of that game will change the opinions of the committee, ie a close loss to SMU does us no good. That said, I think it's probably close to a coin toss that we get an at-large if we make the championship game, and we must go through Cincinnati rather than UConn for numbers reasons. And because the committee is now using more advanced stats that are based off margin of victory, (not to mention just general perception of our team...) blowing out our opponents these next two games rather than just slipping by would be huge for us.
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/rankings.html
If you go look at the past history for the bracket projections that currently have us in... it's not good. It'll be quite interesting to look at it after (if, knock on wood) we beat Houston and see if some more reputable sources have us in. Based on when our tournament championship is, I doubt the result of that game will change the opinions of the committee, ie a close loss to SMU does us no good. That said, I think it's probably close to a coin toss that we get an at-large if we make the championship game, and we must go through Cincinnati rather than UConn for numbers reasons. And because the committee is now using more advanced stats that are based off margin of victory, (not to mention just general perception of our team...) blowing out our opponents these next two games rather than just slipping by would be huge for us.
This time circumstances are entirely different, UCONN is playing for the NCAA life, and if they beat Cincy, the fan enthusiam will be kicked up another level. That first game at XL Center was not near as rabid as the UCONN SMU 2 weeks ago, and when TU vistited the arena was less than 2/3 full.
This team has certainly played in front of 16k fans, but those layed back Bruin fans never created a pressure cooker atmopshere.
Anyhow, I don't think any TU fan wants to see TU vs UCONN III. Beating CIncy helps TU more than beating UCONN on their 2nd home floor.
TX
This post was edited on 3/13 11:59 AM by texcane1982
upset alert in the A-10................
La Salle 46
Davidson 37 (HALF)
Davidson went on a 6-0 run to end the first half, otherwise they would be down by double-digits.
If Davidson is upset, they fall to the bubble. Just like Tulsa, Davidson only has 2 top 50 wins.
TX
This post was edited on 3/13 11:56 AM by texcane1982
La Salle 46
Davidson 37 (HALF)
Davidson went on a 6-0 run to end the first half, otherwise they would be down by double-digits.
If Davidson is upset, they fall to the bubble. Just like Tulsa, Davidson only has 2 top 50 wins.
TX
This post was edited on 3/13 11:56 AM by texcane1982
Davidson is in. They won the 7th ranked conference outright. A loss by Davidson increases the chance that someone like Rhode Island wins the tournament and steals a bid.
This post was edited on 3/13 12:55 PM by PhoggyBottom
This post was edited on 3/13 12:55 PM by PhoggyBottom
LSU has missed more FTs than most teams take.
And MORE fouling on threes in this one. Between this and the Ole Miss ending last night...
And MORE fouling on threes in this one. Between this and the Ole Miss ending last night...
Auburn down 1 with 30 seconds left, LSU ball out of bounds with 6 on the shot clock. These teams have poor bball IQs as there have been several fouls on 3 pt FG attempts.
LSU doesn't get a shot off...almost looked like they had no idea they only had 6 on the shot clock. Point on poor bball IQ made right on cue
LSU doesn't get a shot off...almost looked like they had no idea they only had 6 on the shot clock. Point on poor bball IQ made right on cue
LSU with 5 100+ RPI losses now and they're still in tournament according to Lunardi?
Posted from Rivals Mobile
Posted from Rivals Mobile
LSU is 13-5 against the RPI top 100. They're in. Lunardi has missed a total of 9 teams in 9 years. You guys may not like his projections but they're likely dead on. We win two and I expect him to have us playing on Tuesday in Dayton. Win three and we're playing skip the play-in round with possibly a ten seed.
I think he was dead on until this year. I think he's being influenced by the ESPN brass. Bracketmatrix doesn't think he's that good.
Nearly 90% of the bracketology sites (per the bracket matrix) have TU out of the tourney.
Perhaps there will be some movement with a win tomorrow...
Perhaps there will be some movement with a win tomorrow...
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