We win out and lose in semis of conference tourney
- Thread starter libertychamp
- Start date
Right now Lunardi has TxTech as a bubble team. As much as I love Tubby, that team is God awful to watch. The PAC-12 is terrible this season...even Arizona is avg at best. In the B1G, after Mich St and Maryland, a bunch of avg. to bad teams. Indiana is horrible to watch...Watching Iowa play is like watching the movie Hoosiers on loop. Purdue is meh. ACC- UNC and who? Duke is down, Miami is mediocre at best, Virginia plays great defense but they struggle to score consistently. SEC is Kentucky and everyone else. A&M is probably the 2nd best team in that conference and they are mediocre IMO. I'm not saying we are any better or worse than a lot of those teams, but we won't get the same consideration they will even the numbers will be very similar in the end.
Depending on how the selection committee feels on that Sunday, the Big XII could find itself in a very nice position of being able to get 3 teams to the Final Four. Kansas and OU and Iowa St (depending on matchups for the Cyclones). Of course the selection committee and East coast bias will probably make sure that OU or Kansas have to play Iowa St in a round of eight game.
Depending on how the selection committee feels on that Sunday, the Big XII could find itself in a very nice position of being able to get 3 teams to the Final Four. Kansas and OU and Iowa St (depending on matchups for the Cyclones). Of course the selection committee and East coast bias will probably make sure that OU or Kansas have to play Iowa St in a round of eight game.
I think our magic number is 22 wins to get in. It probably should be 21, but the Eamonn Brennans of the world create conventional wisdom with their "maybe if they win out they might sneak onto the bubble" jabs. Irritating but it's the world in which we live.
If Tulsa finishes the regular season (wins out) most likely we win or tie for the AAC title.
At 21-9 Forecast RPI has Tulsa's rated #35.
Losing in the semis would leave us at 22-10.
Three teams are likely to get in the Tourney from the AAC. Temple, UCONN, Cincy and Tulsa are in the running.
If any of these teams loses in the quarters that might be the team that is left out.
GO TU!!!!
http://www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Tulsa.html
At 21-9 Forecast RPI has Tulsa's rated #35.
Losing in the semis would leave us at 22-10.
Three teams are likely to get in the Tourney from the AAC. Temple, UCONN, Cincy and Tulsa are in the running.
If any of these teams loses in the quarters that might be the team that is left out.
GO TU!!!!
http://www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Tulsa.html
Last night's game has me believing we have just as good a chance at winning the AAC tournament as anyone. Let's just do that and take it out of the committees hands.
I don't see us winning or tying for the conference. I don't any losses left for Temple, besides us. 14-4 beats 13-5.
Maybe. Houston or Memphis. But I guess I should have said I don't see any likely losses.
You don't see Temple losing at Houston? Houston beat them by 27 in Philly. Houston also beat us and SMU at home. I think the conference winner will be 13-5. I hope that's where we are but @Memphis scares me. I can see us in a 3 way tie with SMU and Temple. But it could get really crazy.
The more I think about it, the chances are very good that Houston beats Temple. Also, the more I think about it, I want them to beat them, as long as we don't win the tie-breaker with Temple. This scenario would require a Herculean upset for Houston on the road at Uconn. Also I don't know where the tie breaker would be for Houston, Uconn, &/or Cincinnati if any/or all of the above tied.(Haven't refreshed myself with the tie breakers in the American) But I would love this seeding situation:
1 Temple 13-5
2 Tulsa 13-5
3 Houston 12-6
4 \/ Uconn 12-6/11-5
5 /\ Cincinnati 11-5/12-6
6 Memphis 8-10
7. UCF 7-11
But I doubt Houston has what it takes to upset Uconn, and this is where my master plan fails!!!
Would love to get on the other side of the bracket from Uconn & Cincinnati, and have them pitted against each other in the quarterfinals!
1 Temple 13-5
2 Tulsa 13-5
3 Houston 12-6
4 \/ Uconn 12-6/11-5
5 /\ Cincinnati 11-5/12-6
6 Memphis 8-10
7. UCF 7-11
But I doubt Houston has what it takes to upset Uconn, and this is where my master plan fails!!!
Would love to get on the other side of the bracket from Uconn & Cincinnati, and have them pitted against each other in the quarterfinals!
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Hah! My master plan as written above, could actually work with the seeding rules. (It works as long as Uconn gets the fourth seed with a 12-4 record and they don't flip with 5th seed Cinci at 11-7.) The only thorn in the paw, is that Houston has to upset Uconn on the road!!!
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