USA Today currently (post-UConn) has TU in first four out. The consensus seems to be that an at large is right there for the taking.
RPI Team KPI BPI Sagarin Poemroy LRMC
49 Tulsa 48 54 57 57 55
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I'm seeing 43 on all of the other cites.
43 is the answer today. Thanks to teams like UALR who won big this year. But still have to win out to guarantee a spot. Beating Cincy and Temple, and others, and losing only to Memphis might still work if we make the finals.