I see two scenarios:
1. AAC plays aggressively and gets what it can from the Big 12 left overs. Realistically, I could see us getting all leftovers except West Virginia. KU is in big trouble because as good as their basketball team is football is so bad no conference would want them except the Big East (if they went independent for football). This scenario is best case for TU.
2. Big 12 picks the most attractive teams from AAC, I assume that’s Houston, Cincinnati, Memphis, and UCF. If this happens, TU is in trouble and will return to a conference C-USA level conference.