Non Conference
- Thread starter astonmartin708
- Start date
Good mix. Need to absolutely win all the little sister games impressively and at least 3-3 in the Vegas games and the other group of 5 games plus Dayton. That'd give us 10-3 going into conference...10-3 is a lot better than 7-6 or 8-5.
Just need to avoid a devastating loss to someone weird.. Like ACORN STATE..
If we can't beat this OSU team at home then we're not a NCAA tourney team.
They're probably closer to that #19 spot. They had a remarkable tourney run but they also ran into that juggernaut called UMBC which gave them a bit of a gimme.
Better non-conference schedule than we’ve had in quite some time. We just can’t come out and shat the bed... several good RPI boosting wins are available here.
Using last year's #s and excluding the top three RPI... the average RPI of our OOC slate is 192. We need to run the table and pick up at least one Q1 win for this schedule to really help our at-large chances. It should certainly pad our W column and it gives us 3 or 4 chances for a Q1 win, but it also opens up the door to a 20+ win season that comes with a disappointing RPI.
We need those signature OOC wins, then a decent showing in our conference, and avoid losing games to Lamar - then we should at least be in the discussion.
Problem is, OSU and KSU are at home so they would need to be top 30 RPI teams for them to be Q1. That might or might not happen. As of now, Nevada is a neutral site game (even though they're in their home state). So in reality, it would have been better for Frank to look for a early season tournament where we were matched up against a 50-25 level team rather than a 25-1 level team like Nevada.
I think that tournament was the only really detrimental part of the OOC schedule this year. It gives us a chance for a good win, but in all honesty it's a likely loss. We didn't need that hard of a game at a neutral site.
I like the top of the schedule. KState/Nevada/Utah are likely Q1, OSU/Dayton/SIU/UMass are likely Q2 with a chance to move into Q1.
The bottom is a disaster. Cal Baptist/Alcorn/SCSt are all projected to be bottom 10 teams in the entire country. ORU/Arlington/UNO are all projected around 300.
The bottom is a disaster. Cal Baptist/Alcorn/SCSt are all projected to be bottom 10 teams in the entire country. ORU/Arlington/UNO are all projected around 300.
Not sure about KState being Q1. They were 38 RPI last season and only something like 53 to end the regular season. They could post an improvement and move into the top 30, but you never know exactly how they'll do in the Big 12. I would file them in the Q2 possibly Q1 category until we know more about how they play outside of the NCAA tournament.
They will be ranked 15 but aren't likely to keep that inflated ranking. They are good, but not that good. It was already scheduled years in advance though, so you can't hate on it. I actually like that game a lot.
We could have probably scheduled slightly easier away and neutral site games. People a little easier than Utah and Nevada and had a better chance at a Q1 win in both.
First round of projections are out. 18-12 (9-9)
http://www.barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Tulsa&year=2019
http://www.barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Tulsa&year=2019
Also, I have real trouble thinking that Taplin's going to average 3.7 boards while Horne will only average 4.1 lol If that happens, a lot of things need to change.
When I went through those projections it looked like 9-3 OOC and 10-8 in conference for a 19-11 record, same as last year. I can agree with the OOC, might even drop another odd game, but I expect better in conference.
