NCAA EVALUATION TOOL CHANGES

[loca2874]

They have dropped 3 of the five factors. I personally think this Might hurt TU. Thoughts?
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-ba...3-5-factors-evaluation-tool-tourney-selection
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-ba...3-5-factors-evaluation-tool-tourney-selection

 

[astonmartin708]

Mostly because we don't tend to be an efficient scoring team. Teams that rely on defense to win close games are going to be hurt.

 

[aTUfan]

The bottom feeders in the p5 conferences get overrrated which skewes the whole evaluation process.

 

[loca2874]

The bottom feeders in the p5 conferences get overrrated which skewes the whole evaluation process.

That’s what I was thinking because of the “quality win”

 

[nevadanatural]

Actually dropping score margin will probably help us. We tend to let games end up closer than they should be. These changes get us almost back to RPI.

 

[URedskin54]

Could be wrong but it looks like they're just keeping RPI and Efficiency and removing the things that are just duplication of portions of those

 

[ctt8410]

Mostly because we don't tend to be an efficient scoring team. Teams that rely on defense to win close games are going to be hurt.

Efficiency margin. Both offensive and defensive efficiency. If uncapped, there's actually a tendency for those metrics to overrate good defensive teams that play a slow pace. When Virginia beats Maine 46-26, that's equivalent to an 84-47 win.

They've removed the separate 10-point MOV, but efficiency margin already counted MOV, so it's just no longer double counting.

I'm most interested in the verbiage surrounding SOS. The release says "strength of schedule is based on rating every game on a team's schedule for how hard it would be for an NCAA tournament-caliber team to win" which sounds an awful lot like Wins Above Bubble. That would represent a significant improvement in the methodology and would do a much better job of valuing each individual win and loss.

Unfortunately, they're also sticking with the Q1/Q2/Q3/Q4 system. That particular system will always favor the big schools that have an easier time racking up Q1 games on their schedule.

 

[I.I.]

We just need to beat a bunch of teams that barely end up in Q1. And not lose to Q4.

 

[aTUfan]

Some 4 to 7 place team in a p5 will get equal or better seeding than a top team in the AAC, in the tourny.

Ie. upset special.

 

[Tulsa_]

What would this have done to our bubble position last year ?

 

[aTUfan]

We were our own worst enemy with bad losses.

 

[noble cane]

In a further simplification...

The NCAA announces that 58 P5 teams plus half the new big east and Gonzaga are now guaranteed berths.

The rest of you... can suck it.