Games of Interest (2.26.20)

[loca2874]

That has to be one of the ugliest wins I have seen in a while. Our NET went down because of it especially since we were favored by 10 to 13 depending on who you looked at. We almost got some massive help from Colorado State who almost beat San Diego State last night, but the Aztecs pulled it out at the end.

Todays games has Missouri at Vanderbilt. Vandy has been playing a lot better lately so they might have a chance to knock these guys off. It will be a good boost for Vandy and us as well. We could really use some wins from the Rest of the GOI today.

Two weeks from tomorrow is the AAC Tournament. All we need is a Tulsa win or an SMU loss and we have secured a bye. our magic number is 1.

To secure third place - two wins and a Wichita State loss and a SMU loss or 3 Tulsa Wins

To secure second place - 3 Tulsa wins and either 1 Cincinnati loss or 1 Houston loss (These jokers play Sunday so that loss will happen)

To secure the regular season title - 3 Tulsa wins and 1 Cincinnati loss and 1 Houston loss

Obviously this matrix will change after each of these games. If my calculations are off (I know someone is going to fact check me) please let me know.

Todays Games

AAC Games

East Carolina (195) at South Florida (123)
Central Florida (127) at Connecticut (70)

Rest of GOI
​

Nicholls (200) at Houston Baptist (345)
Southeasten Louisiana (342) at McNeese (297)
Missouri (89) at Vanderbilt (144)
Arkansas State (208) at Louisiana (235)
Boise State (87) at Nevada Las Vegas (112)
Tennessee (65) at Arkansas (45)

NET Rankings Through February 25

Houston (24) No Change
Wichita St (43) Up 1
Cincinnati (54) No Change
Memphis (62) Down 1
UConn (70) Up 1
SMU (81) Up 5
Tulsa (86) Down 5
Temple (111) No Change
South FL. (123) Down 1
UCF (127) No Change
Tulane (169) Up 5
ECU (195) No Change

Quadrant Tracker

Q1

Win

UConn (A) - W (70)
Houston (H) - W (24)

Loss

Arkansas (A) - L (45)
Cincinnati (A) - L (54)
Houston (A) - L (24)

Q2

Win

Memphis (H) - W (62)
Wichita State (H) - W (43)
USF (A) - W (123)

Loss

UT Arlington (A) - L (129)
Kansas State (A) - L (102)
UConn (H) - L (70)
UCF (A) - L (127)
Colorado State (N) - L (100)

Q3

Win

Austin Peay (H) - W (155)
Vanderbilt (A) - W (144)
Boise State (H) - W (87)
Temple (H) - W (111)
ECU (A) - W (195)
Tulane (A) - W (169)
SMU (H) - W (81)
Oral Roberts (H) - W (160)

Loss

Q4

Wins

Houston Baptist (H) - W (345)
Southeastern LA (H) - W (342)
South Carolina State (H) - W (322)
Arkansas Pine Bluff (H) - W (347)
ECU (H) - W (195)
Tulane (H) - W (169)

Loss

Arkansas State (H) - L (208)

 

[drboobay]

Well Co State moved back to q2 for now.

 

[loca2874]

Well Co State moved back to q2 for now.

Yep barely hanging on

 

[Weatherdemon]

Have to wonder about the NET rankings.
WF up only 6 after winning vs Duke while Duke stayed at 6 despite the double digit OT loss.

 

[nevadanatural]

One slight semantic correction. Your calculations are for a #1 seed in the conference tournament. We control our own destiny for a conference championship (or co-championship). We’re tied for the lead so if we win the remaining three games we will be champs but might have the #2 seed.

 

[libertychamp]

One slight semantic correction. Your calculations are for a #1 seed in the conference tournament. We control our own destiny for a conference championship (or co-championship). We’re tied for the lead so if we win the remaining three games we will be champs but might have the #2 seed.

Which would guarantee an Nit bid for regular season champions

 

[loca2874]

One slight semantic correction. Your calculations are for a #1 seed in the conference tournament. We control our own destiny for a conference championship (or co-championship). We’re tied for the lead so if we win the remaining three games we will be champs but might have the #2 seed.

So you are saying that it would be considered co champions and would get the auto NIT bid?

 

[libertychamp]

So you are saying that it would be considered co champions and would get the auto NIT bid?

Yes unless the Memphis mafia at the ncaa cooked the books lol

 

[nevadanatural]

It would be considered a co-championship, we could hang a banner, I don’t think it would guarantee a NIT bid. That said if we win out and get a share of the title, and are 22-10 at worst, I can’t imagine us sitting home. If we could manage 24-10 I think that’s at-large country. All that is pie in the sky though, we have to win Saturday to keep hope alive and hit 20 wins.

 

[TU_BLA]

Which would guarantee an Nit bid for regular season champions

Not if we're the #2 seed in the conference tourney. The NIT will recognize the #1 seed as the auto bid. But it doesn't diminish that we will be recognized as regular season co-champions of the league. Let's not diminish that potential accomplishment from a team picked to finish 10th out of 12 teams. Essentially they thought we would be better than only ECU and Tulane.

If we finish 13-5 regular season, that's steal a great accomplishment for this team and Haith should be AAC COY. I already think Igbanu should be POY & 6th Man of the Year. He won't win POY because Cumberland was pre-ordained the winner before the season started. And he might not win 6th Man because Mills for Houston is not a starter either.

All AAC 1st Team (IMO):
Igbanu
Mills
Cumberland
Achiuwa
Rose

My guess is either Igbanu or Rose get screwed for Christian Vital. Vital is avg. 15.1 ppg, on 37% shooting. Basically he shoots a lot to score a lot. If Martins gets screwed out of all conference 1st team it's because he was not very good or consistent in the OOC. In conference games he has been the best player in the league.

Newcomer is hard too because both Mills (HOU) and Kendric Davis from SMU are newcomers. Davis also has an argument to be 1st team AAC.

What Martins has going for him is that TU has been at the top of the AAC standings the entire conference season and he's the reason why. Things like that usually get rewarded. The guys on ESPN were certainly touting him for the honors last night (and have been for a couple of weeks).

 

[TU4ever2]

Would be nice of WSU wins the next two and loses to us before collecting a couple wins in the tourney. That would give us four quad 1 wins and really help our at large hopes.

 

[astonmartin708]

My hope? Houston downs Cincy and then Coogs it against UConn or Memphis.

 

[libertychamp]

My hope? Houston downs Cincy and then Coogs it against UConn or Memphis.

I just read a bubble watch said Houston in no matter what they do and Cincy just needed a couple of wins and Wichita could lose to lowly 86 Tulsa net and that might knock them out as Tulsa is definitely not getting a bid and aac better hope their are no bid stealers like Memphis who might win the conference tourney lol

 

[TU4ever2]

There are still lots of games left and the AAC teams are ranked high enough that there are lots of quad 1 and quad 2 games between the regular season and neutral games (1-50 quad 1 and 51-100 quad 2) at the conference tourney for Memphis, Tulsa, or SMU to put together a solid run and get an at large. Probably not all three though. Wichita and Cincy just need to handle its business and not have a wtf loss to ECU or Tulane and they will be at large worthy. Houston is in.

Memphis losing to the Ponies hurts as their media clout all year makes them a hard name to turn down but that loss might require a really good tourney run to overcome. SMU meanwhile has slim chances of getting in over a lot of bubble teams.

 

[loca2874]

I just watched episode 8 of “The Harder Way” on ESPN +. It starts out with the last few seconds of the Tulsa butt whipping then goes to video of their practice breaking down and has clips of the game in the episode. I have been smiling the whole time.